After Zimbabwe thrashed Ireland by 107 runs today, it is much clearer as to what each team needs in order to finish in the top two of the Super Sixes and thus qualify for the 2019 World Cup.
Super Sixes Table:
If any of: Zimbabwe, Scotland, or the West Indies win all of their remaining fixtures then they will qualify. Scotland and Zimbabwe could do this together, but if the West Indies achieve it then Scotland and Zimbabwe will both have lost at least one.
If Scotland beat Ireland in their next fixture, and Zimbabwe beat the West Indies, both Scotland and Zimbabwe will qualify with one game to spare. They would have an unassailable three point lead.
If Scotland lose to Ireland, and the West Indies beat Zimbabwe, then Scotland would need to beat the West Indies to qualify as they would likely be in third place on NRR. Should Scotland lose to Ireland and Zimbabwe beat the West Indies, then the equation for Scotland wouldn’t change. Zimbabwe would qualify, and the fixture between them and the West Indies would be a winner takes all affair.
It could come down to NRR between Zimbabwe and Scotland. This would happen if Zimbabwe lose to the West Indies, Scotland beat Ireland and then lose to the West Indies, and Zimbabwe beat the UAE. Both would end on 7 points with the West Indies on top on 8 points.
The West Indies need to beat Scotland in their last game, which will be a winner takes all match if they lose to Zimbabwe, and Scotland lose to Ireland. If the West Indies win both of their remaining matches, they qualify.
For Ireland to qualify, they would need to beat Scotland and Afghanistan, and hope that Zimbabwe lose to the West Indies and the UAE.
Afghanistan can still qualify, if they beat the UAE and then Ireland, and Scotland and Zimbabwe lose both of their remaining games.
The UAE can not qualify.
Zimbabwe 211-9 (50 overs): Raza 69*; Murtagh 3-36, McBrine 2-42
Ireland 104ao (34.2 overs): Stirling 41; Cremer 3-18, Chisoro 3-22
Zimbabwe were led by a superb innings by Sikander Raza (69*) and eight wickets shared between their spin of quartet of: Tendai Chisoro (3-22), Sean Williams (1-17), Graeme Cremer (3-18), and Raza (1-11).
18 March Ireland v Scotland
19 March West Indies v Zimbabwe
20 March UAE v Afghanistan
21 March West Indies v Scotland
22 March UAE v Zimbabwe
23 March Ireland v Afghanistan